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Prize Winner, Part 2

People at the Mall Who Try the Game

Age Group

Number of people who landed
0
out of 4 bags thrown  in the hole

Number of people who landed
1
out of 4 bags thrown  in the hole

Number of people who landed
2
out of 4 bags thrown  in the hole

Number of people who landed
3
out of 4 bags thrown  in the hole

Number of people who landed
4
out of 4 bags thrown  in the hole

Total
People

Children
(age<13)
Distance from Board
0 feet

0

16

48

36

32

132

Teens
(13≤age<20)
Distance from Board
13.5 feet

2

21

36

24

21

104

Adults
Age≥20
Distance from Board
27 feet

3

8

25

16

12

64

Total People

5

45

109

76

65

300

Check Your Understanding

Consider the following:

cornhole gameWhat is the probability of a person landing 3 bags in the hole, given that they stood at 27 feet?

This probability can be written as the probability of three bags given twenty-seven feet. How is this probability different than the ones you just answered?


This probability is different because it limits us to one specific group. The phrase “given that they stood  27 feet from the board”  means that we only look at the 64 people who stood 27 feet away from the board. Out of this group of 64 people, how many sank 3 bags into the hole? According to the table, 16 people fit this description. Thus,

the probability of three bags given twenty-seven feet equals sixteen sixty-fourths which equals one-fourth

 

Check this with the definition of conditional probability, Probability of B given A equals the probability of A and B divided by the probability of A.

the probability of three bags given twenty-seven feet equals the probability of 3 bags and 27 feet divided by the probability of 27 feet

= 1630064300

= 1664=14

It checks out correctly!

 

 

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