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Prize Winner, Part 2

Resources for this lesson:

Key Terms:

Independent event
Dependent event

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As Khalid, Justyce, Andrew, Marissa and Allyson set up the games, they wonder how many children they could expect to show for the carnival.

khalidKhalid collects data for their community comparing the age of the head of household to the number of children in the household.


Analysis of Number of Children Living in the Household compared to the

Age of the Head of the Household

 

Number of Children in the Household

 

Age of Head of Household
(years)

0

1

2

3

4

5+

Total
Number of Households

18 – 24

135

59

34

7

3

2

240

25 – 44

667

435

627

279

70

30

2108

45 – 64

3091

544

333

91

28

7

4094

65+

2433

41

25

3

2

1

2505

 Total
Number of Households

6326

1079

1019

380

103

40

8947

Check Your Understanding

Is the number of children living in a household in this community independent or dependent of the age of the head of the household? If the answer to this question is that the events are independent, thenthe probability of B given A equals the probability of A and B divided by the probability of A which equals the probability of B.

Let’s check the above exercise, the probability of three children given ages 25 through 44. the probability of B would be the probability of three children . According to the table, the probability of having three children in a household is 3808947 . This is not equal to the value we found for the probability of three children given ages 25 through 44. Thus, the number of children in a household is dependent on the age of the head of the household.

Number of Children in the Household

Age of Head of Household
(years)

0

1

2

3

4

5+

Total
Number of Households

18 – 24

135

59

34

7

3

2

240

25 – 44

667

435

627

279

70

30

2108

45 – 64

3091

544

333

91

28

7

4094

65+

2433

41

25

3

2

1

2505

 Total
Number of Households

6326

1079

1019

380

103

40

8947

In mathematics, it is never good to draw such a conclusion off of one example. Try another.

Check Your Understanding

Based on the last two exercises, is the number of children living in a household  independent or dependent of the age of the head of the household?

Remember, the conditional probability  is generally not equal to the probability P(B). This is because the Event A gives us information about whether or not Event B occurs. For this last example, knowing the age of the head of the household (Event A) gives us information about whether or not there are likely to be children living in the household (Event B).

 

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