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Which Model Makes Sense?

Let’s explore another data set.

justyce working at a deskFor a social studies presentation, Justyce is researching census data about her town population to find out how many people have lived there. She gathers the following data:

Population-Census Data

Years since 1950

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Town Population (in thousands)

35.2

44.2

55.5

69.1

87.2

110.1

137.8

Examine the population data and respond the following on a sheet of notebook paper:

  1. Create a scatter plot (using paper, a calculator or the Shodor Applet opens in new window) and determine which function type (linear, exponential or quadratic) may be the best fit for the data set.
  2. Calculate and review the residual plot to determine if the model is the best fit.  If you selected a linear model, analyze the correlation coefficient. 
  3. Justify why the model you selected is the best fit for the Census Population data.

 

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